Warriors vs. Rockets Game 3 Predictions, Odds & Stats – April 26

Miami Heat v Houston Rockets

Photo: Alex Slitz / Getty Images Sport / Getty Images

The Golden State Warriors and the Houston Rockets take the court in Game 3 of the first round of the NBA Playoffs. The Warriors are favored by 3 points in the contest, which airs on ABC at 8:30 p.m. ET.

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Warriors vs. Rockets Predictions for Saturday

Our computer projection model for this matchup predicts a final tally of Warriors 113, Rockets 110.

  • Moneyline Pick: Warriors (-157)
  • Total Pick: Over 203.5 (computer predicts 223.5 points)
  • Pick ATS: Rockets (+3)

Recent Warriors vs. Rockets Matchups

Warriors vs Rockets (Recent Matchups)
Date Favorite Spread Total Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Result
4/23/2025 Rockets -4 205 -177 +148 109-94 HOU
4/20/2025 Rockets -1.5 213 -121 +101 95-85 GS
4/6/2025 Warriors -5 225.5 -198 +164 106-96 HOU
2/13/2025 Warriors -1.5 225.5 -121 +100 105-98 GS
12/11/2024 Rockets -2.5 220.5 -153 +129 91-90 HOU
12/5/2024 Rockets -4.5 219.5 -183 +152 99-93 GS
11/2/2024 Rockets -4.5 216 -192 +161 127-121 GS
4/4/2024 Warriors -3 227.5 -150 +125 133-110 GS
11/20/2023 Warriors -7 220 -290 +231 121-116 GS
10/29/2023 Warriors -7 223 -269 +218 106-95 GS

Warriors 2024-25 Betting Trends

  • Golden State's ATS record is 42-40-0 this season.
  • In games this season they were favored by 3 points or more, the Warriors have a 21-27 record against the spread.
  • A total of 41 of Golden State's 82 games with a set total have hit the over (50%).
  • This season, the Warriors have been favored 55 times and won 37, or 67.3%, of those games.
  • Golden State has a record of 30-17, a 63.8% win rate, when it's favored by -157 or more by sportsbooks this season.

Rockets 2024-25 Betting Trends

  • Houston's ATS record is 43-39-0 this year.
  • The Rockets have a 10-10 record against the spread when an underdog by 3 points or more this year.
  • Houston's games have gone over the point total 45 out of 82 times (54.9%).
  • The Rockets have won 11 of the 28 games they were the moneyline underdog this season (39.3%).
  • Houston has a record of 5-13 when playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of +133 or longer (27.8%).

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Warriors vs. Rockets Injury Report

Warriors

Warriors:

Jimmy Butler: Questionable (Pelvis),

Gary Payton II: Questionable (Shoulder)

Rockets

Rockets:

Jae'Sean Tate: Out (Ankle),

Jock Landale: Out (Knee)

Warriors vs. Rockets Game Time and TV Channel

  • Game day: Saturday, April 26, 2025
  • Game time: 8:30 p.m. ET
  • TV channel: ABC
  • Location: San Francisco, California
  • Arena: Chase Center
  • Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)

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