The Golden State Warriors are 5.5-point underdogs in Game 4 of the second round of the NBA Playoffs against the Minnesota Timberwolves at Chase Center on Monday, tipping off at 10 p.m. ET on ESPN. The Timberwolves are ahead 2-1 in the series.
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Timberwolves vs. Warriors Predictions for Monday
Our computer model for this encounter predicts a final score of Warriors 112, Timberwolves 111.
- Moneyline Pick: Warriors (+182)
- Total Pick: Over 199.5 (computer predicts 222.1 points)
- Pick ATS: Warriors (+5.5)
Recent Timberwolves vs. Warriors Matchups
| Date | Favorite | Spread | Total | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/10/2025 | Timberwolves | -5.5 | 201 | -248 | +202 | 102-97 MIN |
| 5/8/2025 | Timberwolves | -10.5 | 201.5 | -543 | +404 | 117-93 MIN |
| 5/6/2025 | Timberwolves | -6.5 | 210.5 | -246 | +200 | 99-88 GS |
| 1/15/2025 | Timberwolves | -7 | 216 | -269 | +216 | 116-115 GS |
| 12/21/2024 | Timberwolves | -3.5 | 217 | -175 | +147 | 113-103 GS |
| 12/8/2024 | Warriors | -1 | 215.5 | -113 | -106 | 114-106 GS |
| 12/6/2024 | Timberwolves | -1.5 | 220 | -119 | -100 | 107-90 MIN |
| 3/24/2024 | Timberwolves | -1.5 | 220 | -119 | -100 | 114-110 MIN |
| 11/14/2023 | Timberwolves | -3 | 216.5 | -152 | +126 | 104-101 MIN |
| 11/12/2023 | Warriors | -3 | 222 | -151 | +126 | 116-110 MIN |
Timberwolves 2024-25 Betting Trends
- Minnesota is 39-43-0 against the spread this season.
- In games this season they were favored by 5.5 points or more, the Timberwolves have a 17-20 record against the spread.
- The teams have hit the over in 44 of Minnesota's 82 games with a set total.
- The Timberwolves have been favorites in 63 games this season and won 40 (63.5%) of those contests.
- Minnesota has a record of 26-11, a 70.3% win rate, when it's favored by -221 or more by bookmakers this season.
Warriors 2024-25 Betting Trends
- Golden State is 42-40-0 against the spread this year.
- When they have played as at least 5.5-point underdogs this year, the Warriors are 5-4 against the spread.
- A total of 41 of Golden State's 82 games with a set total have hit the over (50%).
- The Warriors have put together an 11-16 record in games they were listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 40.7% of those games).
- In games it has played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +182 or longer, Golden State has gone 4-5 (44.4%).
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Timberwolves vs. Warriors Injury Report
Timberwolves
Timberwolves: None
Warriors
Warriors:
Stephen Curry: Out (Hamstring)
Timberwolves vs. Warriors Game Time and TV Channel
- Game day: Monday, May 12, 2025
- Game time: 10 p.m. ET
- TV channel: ESPN
- Location: San Francisco, California
- Arena: Chase Center
- Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
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