The Minnesota Timberwolves are massive 11.5-point favorites for a decisive Game 5 of the second round of the NBA Playoffs against the Golden State Warriors at Target Center on Wednesday, tipping off at 9:30 p.m. ET on TNT, truTV, and MAX. The Timberwolves have a 3-1 series lead.
Watch the NBA, other live sports and more on Fubo. What is Fubo? Fubo is a streaming service that gives you access to your favorite live sports and shows on demand. Use our link to sign up.
Timberwolves vs. Warriors Predictions for Wednesday
Our computer projection model for this contest predicts a final score of Timberwolves 114, Warriors 108.
- Moneyline Pick: Timberwolves (-617)
- Total Pick: Over 204 (computer predicts 222.2 points)
- Pick ATS: Warriors (+11.5)
Recent Timberwolves vs. Warriors Matchups
| Date | Favorite | Spread | Total | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/12/2025 | Timberwolves | -4.5 | 200.5 | -200 | +166 | 117-110 MIN |
| 5/10/2025 | Timberwolves | -5.5 | 201 | -248 | +202 | 102-97 MIN |
| 5/8/2025 | Timberwolves | -10.5 | 201.5 | -543 | +404 | 117-93 MIN |
| 5/6/2025 | Timberwolves | -6.5 | 210.5 | -246 | +200 | 99-88 GS |
| 1/15/2025 | Timberwolves | -7 | 216 | -269 | +216 | 116-115 GS |
| 12/21/2024 | Timberwolves | -3.5 | 217 | -175 | +147 | 113-103 GS |
| 12/8/2024 | Warriors | -1 | 215.5 | -113 | -106 | 114-106 GS |
| 12/6/2024 | Timberwolves | -1.5 | 220 | -119 | -100 | 107-90 MIN |
| 3/24/2024 | Timberwolves | -1.5 | 220 | -119 | -100 | 114-110 MIN |
| 11/14/2023 | Timberwolves | -3 | 216.5 | -152 | +126 | 104-101 MIN |
| 11/12/2023 | Warriors | -3 | 222 | -151 | +126 | 116-110 MIN |
Timberwolves 2024-25 Betting Trends
- Minnesota's ATS record is 39-43-0 this season.
- The Timberwolves have a 7-6 record against the spread in games they were favored by 11.5 points or more this season.
- Minnesota has hit the over in 44 of its 82 games with a set total (53.7%).
- The Timberwolves have won 40, or 63.5%, of the 63 games they've played as favorites this season.
- Minnesota has a record of 11-2, a 84.6% win rate, when it's favored by -617 or more by bookmakers this season.
Warriors 2024-25 Betting Trends
- So far this year, Golden State has put together a 42-40-0 record against the spread.
- Golden State has gone over in 41 of its 82 games with a set total (50%).
- The Warriors have compiled an 11-16 record in games they were listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 40.7% of those games).
- Golden State has yet to play as a moneyline underdog of +452 or longer.
Looking for NBA tickets? Head to StubHub today and see your team live.
Timberwolves vs. Warriors Injury Report
Timberwolves
Timberwolves: None
Warriors
Warriors:
Stephen Curry: Out (Hamstring)
Timberwolves vs. Warriors Game Time and TV Channel
- Game day: Wednesday, May 14, 2025
- Game time: 9:30 p.m. ET
- TV channel: TNT, truTV, and MAX
- Location: Minneapolis, Minnesota
- Arena: Target Center
- Live stream: Watch this match on Max (Regional restrictions may apply)
Sign up for NBA League Pass to get access to games, live and on-demand, and more for the entire season and offseason.