The Golden State Warriors square off against the Los Angeles Lakers as just 2.5-point favorites in the first game of the 2025-26 NBA season for both teams on Tuesday, October 21, 2025 at 10 p.m. ET on NBC/Peacock.
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Warriors vs. Lakers Predictions for Tuesday
Our computer projection model for this matchup predicts a final tally of Lakers 112, Warriors 111.
- Moneyline Pick: Lakers (+125)
- Total Pick: Under 226 (computer predicts 223.5 points)
- Pick ATS: Lakers (+2.5)
Recent Warriors vs. Lakers Matchups
| Date | Favorite | Spread | Total | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4/3/2025 | Lakers | -1.5 | 230.5 | -114 | -105 | 123-116 GS |
| 2/6/2025 | Lakers | -6.5 | 224.5 | -260 | +210 | 120-112 LAL |
| 1/25/2025 | Lakers | -1 | 218.5 | -113 | -106 | 118-108 LAL |
| 12/25/2024 | Warriors | -3.5 | 219.5 | -164 | +139 | 115-113 LAL |
Warriors 2024-25 Betting Trends
- Golden State's record against the spread last season was 42-40-0.
- The Warriors' ATS record as 2.5-point favorites or more was 23-28 last year.
- Golden State had 41 of its 82 games go over the point total last season.
- The Warriors were the moneyline favorite 55 total times last season. They went 37-18 in those games.
- Golden State had a record of 32-17 when playing as a moneyline favorite with odds of -150 or shorter last year (65.3%).
Lakers 2024-25 Betting Trends
- Los Angeles won 45 games against the spread last year, while failing to cover or pushing 37 times.
- Against the spread, as underdogs of 2.5 points or greater, the Lakers went 15-14 last year.
- A total of 41 of Los Angeles' games last year hit the over.
- The Lakers were underdogs in 33 games last season and won 15 (45.5%) of those contests.
- Last season, Los Angeles won nine of its 26 games, or 34.6%, when it was the underdog by at least +125 on the moneyline.
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Warriors vs. Lakers Injury Report
Warriors
Warriors:
De'Anthony Melton: Out (Knee),
Moses Moody: Out (Calf)
Lakers
Lakers:
LeBron James: Out (Nerve)
Warriors vs. Lakers Game Time and TV Channel
- Game day: Tuesday, October 21, 2025
- Game time: 10 p.m. ET
- TV channel: NBC/Peacock
- Location: Los Angeles, California
- Arena: Crypto.com Arena
- Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
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